New York With 10 Times the Cases of California. Why?
It’s extremely hard to know why. I think for those of us in the Bay Area, we like to think that it was the early Shelter in Place order put into place ahead of the rest of the country. That’s one explanation. (This theory might be born out by this other head to head comparison)…
Read MoreCovid 19 Bay Area Per Capita 3.24.2020
Per capita, all areas have gone up since yesterday. But still arithmetically, not logarithmically. We’ll see.
Read MoreComparative Trackers from New York Times
This tracker shows the steepness of the curve from State to State (with more than 10 deaths) and country to country. Scroll down to see the States. The US was doing fairly well initially, but that was probably due to the lack of testing. Funny how that works.
Read MorePer Capita Infection Rate Bay Area Corona Virus
I’m inserting a spread sheet with data from this tracker .covid cases per capita bay area So though San Francisco cases are low, they are among the highest in the Bay area per capita as are cases in Marin County. I think this basically shows that we don’t have enough data yet to have any…
Read MoreCorona Virus Epidemiology: The Hammer and the Dance
This is a long article explaining the need for extreme measures (the hammer) up front to slow the spread of the virus. This achieves many positive outcomes down the road. If the hospitals are overwhelmed, not only do you get more deaths from the virus, but collateral damage too. People with heart attacks or accidents…
Read MoreWhy Covid 19 is worse than the flu
A terrific article that lays out clearly why this virus is different. I urge you to read the whole thing, it’s easy to understand. But a few takeaways 1. Flu is an all human virus, so is recognizable by our immune system. This virus is not. 2. It’s mutating quite rapidly. There are now at…
Read MoreCovid Tracker Worldwide
I started tracking this on Tuesday, March 17th, once we were providing more Covid 19 testing. On Tuesday, Spain had 11,000 cases, we had 5100. Now Spain has 28,500 and we have 27,000. We have caught up with Spain in 5 days. Obviously, Spain is a 10th the size of the U.S., but our cases…
Read MoreIoannidis on the Corona Virus Pandemic: Data is only partial
I’ve cited Ioannidis’ work previously in the blog (way way back in the day.) Here and here. He has one of the most downloaded papers in the history of Plos called “Why Most Published Research Findings Are False.” As careful readers of this blog know, I, too can be skeptical of some of the conclusions…
Read MoreKentucky Versus Tennessee Covid 19: Why Policy Matters
For those who are interested in actual data, there is a real time study showing how the policies recommended by the experts, when put into place, make a difference in outcomes. Granted, I’m no expert and also granted that we don’t really have enough good data to know because of lack of testing, but I…
Read MoreBay Area Corona Virus Tracker
This tracker is similar to the Johns Hopkins Worldwide tracker but for the Bay Area. Our total cases in San Francisco is now at 70. Doesn’t sound too bad until you consider it was 51 yesterday.
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